Sunday, January 24, 2010

Watch That Line

Just like last week, the late action seems to on the Jet's opponent. Yesterday the Colts were favored by 7 points. Then 7.5 points And now 8.5 points. Once this line gets up to Jets +9 then it's time to start wagering on the underdog J-E-T-S.

WWOD's Conference Champion Game Wagers
-When the lines first came out and the Jets were only getting 7.5 points, I teased the Colts down to -1.5 and the OVER down to 34. This was an emotional hedge that would give me a silver lining for a Colts win. And, I've got a feeling that if the Colts win that they're going to put up more than 20 points (although the Jets' foes have averaged close to 14 this season).

-As far as props, I'm looking at shortest field goal UNDER 26.5 yards, considering how good the Jets' defense has been playing how likely their offense is to be unable to punch it in at some point. I'm also at the Special Teams or Defensive Score bet that's coming off at +150 (meaning you win $150 for betting $100). The OVER on Austin Collie receiving yards at 50.5 might see a few bucks from me since I can only assume that Peyton Manning is not going to force any balls to his No. 1 option, who should be wearing Darrelle Revis around like a mink snuggie throughout the game.

-With the Jets' line moving and a likely shootout I'm thinking about teasing the Jets up to 15 (assuming that line gets up to +9) and the Vikings-Saints OVER down to 48.

-The Vikings are now getting just +3.5, which means the public money has been lining the denim pockets of the Gunslinger. In a game that essentially seems a pick 'em to me I might be tempted to just take the points. But probably not.

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